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How are the U.S. Indices doing Year to Date? Let’s See…

YTD Relative Performance Feature chart 7-1-13

Comparative relative performance from end of last session of 2012 (Monday, December 31, 2012) to end of the last session of the 2nd Quarter 2013 (Friday, June 28, 2013).

Notes from a Napkin

Napkin Notes

USDA report and grain prices.  USDA raised corn acres slightly to 97.38 mln. Still showed a tight supply of corn. Corn stocks report was not a surprise. Corn acres report was some what of a surprise in that the average trade guess was for a sizable cut in acres. Overall, I found the report was […]

Intramarket Cycle Analysis and Commentary

cycl-1-perfect

Macro-China slower than previously expected. Perhaps the world as well. US recently slumped. Since 2009, US has grown faster than many in the world and China has grown. Economies will continue to grow until 2017 to 2019, and I favor 2019, and the earliest for a recession. No crash. No major bear market. 3yr long […]

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Updated Tables

Volatility Band Tables Side Bar

SPX continues toward 1600 with reflex bounce anticipated & Buyes’ reprevie before Non-Farm Payroll Report

6-6-13 SPX Daily Chart

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Message from the Primary Fund Manager

SPX Buyers return following US Memorial Day holiday -But- late session selling reflects elements of uncertainty

5-29-13 SPX Daily Chart

Long Term Cycles

cycle1

Within the super cycles there are long term 9yr and 3yr business cycles. A 9yr cycle peaked during 2007 for the US stock market and economy. Some countries peaked the same year, and other during 2008. The model forecast is for the next 9yr cycle peak to occur during 2017 to 2019. The 9yr cycle […]

Teucrium Wheat Fund (NYSEARCA: WEAT) traded in a tight range for 12 days. Volatility declined. There is a cycle model set up for a rally from April into June. Trade over range highs could be a buy side trigger with risk point in the $17 area. Weather problems persist for China, Canada, US, Ukraine and Russia. Is […]