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Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Jan. 7, 2015

RUT selling accelerated during Tuesday’s session as the other primary equity indices’ sell-off continued. Although small caps were weaker than the others’ during this session, RUT is fairing better over the past 5 trading days. Prices are now so oversold an imminent reflexive rebound should not surprise. The violation of multiple daily moving averages and […]

Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Jan. 6, 2015

The start of 2015 has not been friendly to Buyers as equity indices continue to lose support in search of lower value levels. However, RUT has been holding up better than the other primary indices. This likely due to normal bullish seasonality for small caps. If/When the selling ebs, RUT is outperform when Buyers return. […]

Start of year seasonality at loggerheads with approaching Non-Farm Payroll known volatility event. Resolution of a defined daily technical pattern will offer short term trading entries before Friday’s event.

01-05-15 SPX Headline Daily Chart

Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Jan. 5, 2015

Follow thru lower was a likely possibility after the very poor New Year’s Eve close. Indeed prices drifted lower to test our targets as Buyers stepped up to defend this price zone providing decent profit opportunities. With Buyers pushing back, another return visit to a confluent Daily Implied Volatility Band lower support/Moving Average support should […]

Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Jan. 2, 2015

Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Dec. 31, 2014

Buyers moved to the sidelines as the yearend RUT rally finally takes a breather. For future reference, it was noted in Monday morning’s commentary that a rally pause was imminent due to Fibonacci count 8 successive sessions of gains. Anytime a rally extends this far (with special emphasis on 8 sessions), it is a good […]

Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Dec. 30, 2014

Although volume was a bit higher than the prior session, volume was once again holiday light as market participants are sidelined in holiday mode. During these periods, Implied Volatility Bands offer reasonable intraday entries points if internals are not too extreme. We continue to see future corrective throwbacks as buying opportunities. There may be very […]

Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Dec. 29, 2014

The relentless yearend rally continues with smallcaps (RUT) quickly catching up with the other major equity indices as the end of year finish line approaches. This bullish seasonality should be expected, but RUT has extended into extremely overbought levels (i.e., RSI2 is greater than 99 and this indicator cannot exceed 100) elevating the risk of […]

金融機関時代精神 日本株式市場 時代精神

金融機関(きんゆうきかん)とは、金融取引に関する業務を営む組織のこと。狭義には預貯金取扱金融機関のみを指すが、広義には保険会社や証券会社、ノンバンクも含む。 金融の本質は、資金を余剰している先から集め、不足している先に融通するところにある。 この事業の性質上、公共性が極めて高いことから、この事業を行うものに対しては、各国とも行政運営上、この事業の資金調達ならびに営業(個人、法人および事業性個人に対するものも含めて)に対して、免許制ないし認可制・登録制などの規制を行うことがほとんどである。この、行政によって認可・許可・登録などをなされた法人を、狭義の金融機関と定義することができる。 この業態でよく見られる例としては、銀行や信用金庫などが預金という形式で集めて融資を行ったり保険会社が保険料という形式で集めて融資を行うという間接金融形式、証券会社が事業法人が株式や社債を発行する直接金融の仲介を行う形式などを挙げることができる。 これらの金融機関は、金融市場において、立場はさまざまであるが、重要なプレーヤーとして機能する。

Russell 2000 Daily Chart with Current Implied Volatility Band Levels for Dec. 23, 2014

In traders’ parlance…”lather, rinse, repeat”. The Santa Claus Rally is in full force with the current bullish seasonality to last until the first week of January 2015. As noted yesterday, volume will continue to be holiday light unless there is an unforeseen surprise in tomorrow’s cluster of economic reports. Light volume normally favors Buyers along […]